ACFA and its European sister organization EFOA (European Fuel Oxygenates Association) appointed Ricardo Strategic Consulting to conduct a study of fuel octane effects on the fuel consumption in light-duty vehicles (LDV). We would like to share the key findings and conclusions of the study with our readers.
Ricardo plc is a British publicly listed company named after its founder, Sir Harry Ricardo, originally incorporated and registered as Engine Patents Ltd in 1915. Ricardo develops engines, transmissions, vehicle systems, intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and hybrid & electric systems. Ricardo Strategic Consulting (RSC) is the global management consulting subsidiary of Ricardo PLC and is a natural extension of Ricardo's high value-added engineering services. RSC serves a broad range of clients in both the Automotive & Transportation sectors.
The Influence of Fuel Octane on Fuel Consumption
The study focuses on regulatory requirements for fuel economy or greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, the LDV technology roadmap to meet those requirements, and the role of fuel octane in this future challenge.
Regulatory requirements for LDV fuel economy or greenhouse gas emissions are driving significant changes in how LDV, especially their powertrains, are being designed. Ricardo’s technology roadmap suggests that internal combustion engines will continue to play an important role in LDV powertrains, even as LDV are increasingly electrified. Ricardo also sees an increasing role for fuels to contribute to an overall “wells to wheels” GHG reduction strategy.
It was noted in the report that with downsized engines being an important part of future engine design, operation in high-load, knock-limited regimes becomes more likely. The main benefit of increasing the commonly available octane in fuels thus appears to be that it facilitates engine design changes, such as increases in compression ratio, which directly lead to improved fuel consumption.
Therefore, Ricardo expects fuel octane number, especially research octane number (RON), to be an important contributor to future GHG emissions reduction from LDV in all markets.
The study report explores the following points:
Current and forthcoming regulatory requirements for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions or fuel economy that are driving the need for new technology on LDV
The Ricardo view of future engine and vehicle technologies for improved fuel consumption that may affect the preferred fuel octane number
A ranking of fuel consumption improving technologies by cost and benefit, and where fuel octane fits in this ranking
How the effect of RON on combustion differs from that of MON, how these different effects could be exploited, and what confounding factors might limit exploitation
The growth of both regulation and targets for low carbon vehicles (LCV) sets a major challenge for the road transport sector. GHG emissions targets from key global markets for passenger cars are shown in Figure 1. These targets have been normalized by the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) to the New European Drive Cycle (NEDC), which is currently the drive cycle used for GHG emissions testing in the EU. As can be seen, the regulatory targets are challenging, and will require a 4–5% improvement each year in GHG emissions.
Regulatory bodies are not only focusing on GHG emissions requirements, though. The EU and the United States (US) are both pressing ahead with increasingly stringent limits for criteria pollutants, such as nitrogen oxides (NOx), particulate matter (PM), carbon monoxide (CO), and hydrocarbons (HC) or non-methane organic gases (NMOG).
Table 1 uses data from Ricardo to show light-duty vehicle criteria pollutants for US and EU regulations.
GHG emissions reduction will be one of the top drivers for light-duty vehicle development over the next decade. GHG regulatory targets are converging across global markets, although some regions are moving faster than others. Regulatory targets for criteria pollutants such as NOx, PM, and HC are also expected to tighten in parallel. Therefore, manufacturers are highly motivated to seek solutions that address GHG and criteria pollutants.
Current rules for GHG emissions focus only on the vehicle and powertrain, hence they are on a so-called “tank to wheels” basis. Fuels are currently regulated separately for their GHG benefits where low-carbon standards exist, so there are limited opportunities for vehicles to be designed comprehensively in an LCV framework. Although the World-Wide Fuels Charter provides a recommended global standard for gasoline fuels, these fuels are ultimately regulated on a market by market basis. For example, European Commission sets fuel standards for the EU; likewise EPA has the main authority for fuels in the US. Governmental agencies rely on industry tests and standards as well, especially for performance-based metrics, such as measuring RON and MON.
In the near term, then, Ricardo expects LDV GHG emissions requirements to remain on a “tank to wheels” basis, with only a nominal consideration of the GHG benefits of a lower-carbon fuel. As discussed earlier, though, there is a role for fuels to play in reducing fuel consumption and, therefore, GHG emissions.
The cost-benefit overview for leading fuel economy improvements shows a mix of options available to manufacturers. The most cost effective options are for improvements in internal combustion engine design and powertrains, as illustrated in Table 2. Ricardo’s analysis is that hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) systems are considerably more expensive to reduce one gram CO2 per kilometer.
(Editor’ note: ACFA deems it as important to mention, that HEVs have two engines, an electric one but also internal combustion engine, and the higher-octane-enabled efficiency improvement on the internal combustion engine (higher compression ratio) is directly transformed into an efficiency of the HEVs, too.)
The positive impact of higher fuel octane
The various technologies listed in Table 2 are already being implemented by key manufacturers, although their benefits are not simply additive —some synergies are possible, as are some conflicts. As marked in the table, higher fuel octane will facilitate changes to engine compression ratio, direct injection fuel systems, and higher boost pressures from turbocharging and other advanced boost systems.
In Ricardo’s view, the internal combustion engine has considerable scope for further development, with a thermal efficiency of 50% or more possible in the longer term, with future improvements coming from a combination of better combustion and the implementation of waste heat recovery systems. Ricardo analysis suggests that these future engines incorporate technologies that will benefit from higher fuel octane
(Editor’s note: ACFA considers it as important to mention, that – when compared to current efficiency levels – future internal combustion engines could become significantly more efficient by increasing the thermal efficiency to a level >50%.)
Fuel Octane Number Effects
The octane number, or octane rating, is a standard measure of the anti-knock properties of a motor or aviation fuel. Most markets report the Research Octane Number (RON) at the fuel pump, although in North America RON is averaged with the Motor Octane Number (MON) to make the anti-knock index (AKI).
A higher fuel octane number moves the knock limit further from normal operation, and thereby lets the fuel withstand more compression before detonating. This is attractive because an increase of only one ratio number, such as from 9.5:1 to 10.5:1, reduces on- cycle fuel consumption by about 2%, which is a significant potential improvement from a relatively low-cost change in engine design.
Thus, higher octane fuels allow fully stoichiometric operation at high speeds and high load in the absence of exhaust temperature limits to protect turbines or catalytic converters. The higher octane number is beneficial, then, because increasing the compression ratio (CR) provides a fuel consumption benefit across the whole engine operating map. The heuristic is that increasing the compression ratio by one decreases on-cycle fuel consumption by approximately 2%. Figure 2 shows the effect of CR on engine thermal efficiency and also shows how CR can be increased for engines that require premium fuel.
Summary of Findings
Overall, then, RON is seen to have the strongest direct influence on fuel economy. The main benefit of uniformly-available fuels with higher minimum RON is that it allows LDV manufacturers to design their vehicles for the improved fuel. A four to five point increase in RON would support design changes that would yield a 2% improvement in fuel consumption over a typical regulatory drive cycle. For existing LDV in use, there will be a more modest benefit to fuel consumption and performance, as shown in Table 3. The picture is more complicated for MON, as MON’s effect on engine performance is strongly influenced by the engine operating point as well as the engine design.
From the roadmap and literature review results, Ricardo draws the following conclusions:
Internal combustion engines are expected to remain the primary form of propulsion to 2025 and beyond.
Future GHG emissions and fuel economy targets worldwide will require significant changes in engine technology over the next 10 to 15 years. These changes will include down speeding, boost, and direct injection; all of which are expected to become commonplace.
A higher minimum fuel RON will facilitate the performance of the engine technologies that are being implemented now, and that are expected over the next several decades, including
- Direct injection- Turbocharging and other boost systems- Higher compression ratios
In this issue of our “In Conversation with” we talked to Mr. Jeff Hove, acting Vice President and Executive Director at the Fuels Institute. In recent years we have seen some initiatives to consider policies to ban the sale of vehicles equipped with internal combustion engines (ICE), predominantly emerging in Europe, but also spreading out in parts of Asia.
In this issue of our “In Conversation with” we talked to Dr Tilak Doshi, an energy sector consultant based in Singapore. Dr Doshi shared his views and observations about the global “2050 decarbonisation” plan and move towards Electric Vehicles (EVs) with us. We would like to thank Dr Doshi for his efforts to comprehensively answer our questions which provide some highly valuable and very interesting insights into this matter, highlighting a range of topics often overlooked in the political discussion between the various stakeholders in the race to save the world from impending climate catastrophe.